|
Forecast |
Forecast |
|
|
|
|
Variance |
Variance |
|
COVID |
|
|
Month 2 |
Month 5 |
Movement |
Movement |
|
Service |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Explanation of Main Movements |
Director of Families, Children & Learning |
0 |
(5) |
(5) |
0 |
|
Health, SEN & Disability Services |
1,965 |
2,037 |
72 |
217 |
Increasing number of high cost children's disability placements. |
Education & Skills |
1,953 |
1,211 |
(742) |
(437) |
Application of the income loss compensation grant and lower than anticipated costs of social distancing measures for home to school transport. |
Children's Safeguarding & Care |
(706) |
(1,442) |
(736) |
(246) |
Significantly less impact on costs, both directly and indirectly, from COVID-19 up to the end of August. |
Quality Assurance & Performance |
(13) |
(12) |
1 |
0 |
|
Further Financial Recovery Measures |
(98) |
(40) |
58 |
0 |
Achievement of Financial Recovery Plan measures included above. |
Total Families, Children & Learning |
3,101 |
1,749 |
(1,352) |
(466) |
|
Adult Social Care |
9,538 |
5,806 |
(3,732) |
(746) |
Due to additional NHS England funding. |
S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT) |
2,061 |
366 |
(1,695) |
(803) |
Due to additional NHS England funding. |
Integrated Commissioning |
2,489 |
4,588 |
2,099 |
1,543 |
Additional COVID-19 rough sleeper support costs. These are partially offset by the MHCLG grant award held centrally pending allocation. |
Public Health |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Further Financial Recovery Measures |
(576) |
0 |
576 |
0 |
|
Total Health & Adult Social Care |
13,512 |
10,760 |
(2,752) |
(6) |
|
Transport |
14,248 |
4,675 |
(9,573) |
(9,447) |
The positive movement is substantially the faster than forecast recovery of off-street car park income and Penalty Charge Notice income (a reduction in overspend of £2.600 million). This forecast does assume that the high proportion of income against the seasonally adjusted budget received in Summer 2020 continues for the rest of 2020/21. This is offset by higher additional spend than covered by grant funding payments to bus operators (additional transport for school pupils) of around £0.300m. The balance is the estimate of the sales, fees and charges compensation grant due to be claimed from government. |
City Environmental Management |
1,900 |
166 |
(1,734) |
(1,434) |
The latest forecast overspend on operational staffing (mainly agency) has reduced by £0.100m compared to Month 2. There has been a forecast improvement in the performance of the fleet management (£0.200m under budget) and an improved forecast for commercial services (£0.100m) largely due to garden waste collections income improving and waste disposal costs reducing (less waste collected). The remaining forecast underspends of £0.400m relate to additional COVID-19 waste disposal costs now being funded from the waste PFI reserve partly offset by an overspend on urgent works to manage Dutch Elm disease in the city. The balance relates to the estimate of the sales, fees and charges compensation grant due to be claimed from government. |
City Development & Regeneration |
941 |
274 |
(667) |
(538) |
The reduction in overspend is due to delays in the recruitment to the Bio Diversity officer post and a post within the Citywide Food Policy project within Sustainability together with some vacancy management savings within Planning Policy. The balance of the change is the estimate of the sales, fees and charges compensation grant due to be claimed from government. |
Culture, Tourism & Sport |
7,088 |
2,482 |
(4,606) |
(4,505) |
The forecast for loss of income has increased for Venues based on the assumption that the Brighton Centre will remain closed until March 2021. Expenditure has been restricted to essential items only. The balance is the estimate of the sales, fees and charges compensation grant due to be claimed from government. |
Property |
1,680 |
1,677 |
(3) |
(96) |
Minor variances. |
Total Economy, Environment & Culture |
25,857 |
9,274 |
(16,583) |
(16,020) |
|
Housing General Fund |
5,456 |
8,494 |
3,038 |
2,523 |
COVID-19 driven increase in costs
(£2.343m) of housing rough sleepers from September to 31
March 2021. These are partially offset by the MHCLG funding award
held centrally pending allocation. |
Libraries |
475 |
178 |
(297) |
0 |
Movement is due to the Sales, Fees & Charges Grant compensation estimate. |
Communities, Equalities & Third Sector |
185 |
185 |
0 |
0 |
|
Safer Communities |
170 |
64 |
(106) |
0 |
Movement is due to the Sales, Fees & Charges Grant compensation estimate. |
Further Financial Recovery Measures |
(2,760) |
(4,193) |
(1,433) |
(553) |
Further use of Flexible Housing Support Grant (£0.700m), reduced future PFI costs (£0.353m) and also estimated further Housing Benefit income recovery from rough sleepers to March 2021 (£0.200m).
|
Total Housing, Neighbourhoods & Communities |
3,526 |
4,728 |
1,202 |
1,970 |
|
Finance (Mobo) |
0 |
(66) |
(66) |
|
Vacancy management savings re vacant Executive Director post. |
HR & Organisational Development (Mobo) |
100 |
101 |
1 |
|
|
IT&D (Mobo) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Procurement (Mobo |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Business Operations (Mobo) |
78 |
97 |
19 |
|
Increase in overtime costs. |
Revenues & Benefits (Mobo) |
893 |
330 |
(563) |
(393) |
Estimated £0.341m sales, fees and charges compensation grant, £0.170m new burdens funding and £0.076m other grant funding. |
Housing Benefit Subsidy |
0 |
147 |
147 |
0 |
A projected surplus of £0.080m relating to the collection of overpayments of former Council Tax Benefit is offset by an overspend of £0.227m on the main subsidy budgets. |
Contribution to Orbis |
265 |
230 |
(35) |
|
Reduced overspend projected for Orbis Partnership. |
Total Finance & Resources |
1,336 |
839 |
(497) |
(393) |
|
Corporate Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Legal Services |
60 |
(50) |
(110) |
(50) |
Expected income overachievement and removal of expected COVID-19 pressure. |
Democratic & Civic Office Services |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Life Events |
422 |
200 |
(222) |
(255) |
Movement is due to the Sales, Fees & Charges Grant compensation estimate. |
Performance, Improvement & Programmes |
0 |
(6) |
(6) |
|
|
Communications |
83 |
30 |
(53) |
|
Underspends to offset COVID-19 pressures. |
Further Financial Recovery Measures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Total Strategy, Governance & Law |
565 |
174 |
(391) |
(305) |
|
Bulk Insurance Premia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Capital Financing Costs |
0 |
(450) |
(450) |
|
Reduction in borrowing and Minimum Revenue Provision (MRP) due to a pause in Capital Programme offset by a reduction in interest income due to lower interest rates. |
Levies & Precepts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions |
(250) |
(217) |
33 |
0 |
Increased pay award costs. |
Unringfenced Grants |
(15,905) |
(21,930) |
(6,025) |
(2,557) |
£3.429m Next Steps Accommodation Programme Grant and £2.557m for the third tranche of COVID-19 Funding. |
Other Corporate Items |
4,261 |
2,926 |
(1,335) |
(1,335) |
Reduction in demand for PPE and amended charging arrangements offset by an increased cost of Excess Death Management. |
Further Financial Recovery Measures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total Corporately-held Budgets |
(11,894) |
(19,671) |
(7,777) |
(3,892) |
|
Total General Fund |
36,003 |
7,853 |
(28,150) |
(19,112) |
|